The blogosphere is vast and unwieldy. Humans, as a rule, hate vast and unwieldy — which is why we attempt to neatly order and explain everything we do. Whether you’re a scientist using a telescope or a preacher using the Good Book, it’s the same impulse.
Naturally, then, the measurement of the blogosphere is a huge priority for the universe of bloggers. People want to know their place … where they fit in … what it all means.
Just as humans desire to know whether their prayers are truly heard, they also wonder if all this typing, linking and jacking around with Blogger and TypePad is truly worth it.
And so they turn to either the science or religion — depending on your perspective — of Technorati.
What exactly is Technorati, and what does it do?
According to the San Francisco-based company, it is “the authority on what’s going on in the world of weblogs.” It is “currently tracking 20.2 million sites and 1.6 billion links.” It is “a real-time search engine that keeps track of what is going on in the blogosphere.”
But, according to Sacred Cow Dung, it is “a blind man” — as in the Buddhist parable, The Blind Men and the Elephant. Just as a blind man may touch the trunk of an elephant and believe it is a plough, so Technorati may provide accurate data but not a true picture of the blogosphere.
In the SCD blog’s meta-analysis, “Measuring The ACTUAL Blogosphere Part 1,” Chris Mayaud offers a comprehensive breakdown of Technorati’s strengths and weaknesses. Among his conclusions:
If we use Technorati’s current estimate … 95% of the total number of blogs out there HAVE NO LINKS LINKING BACK TO THEM. Therefore, Technorati Link Analysis only works for the top 5% that actually have links and is rendered useless to measure 95% of the blogosphere.
If you are just starting out and want your blog to move into the top 5% of the blogosphere (according to Technorati Rankings) — just go to blogger.com and create one “dummy” blog with one link to your blog and that single link is worth over 18 million in rank and drives you into the top 5% of all blogs.
Mayaud’s summary of the Technorati view of the blogosphere:
As of 10/7/05,the total number of blogs “measured” by Technorati = 18,900,000
- Less than 450 blogs have over 1000 blogs linking to them = 0.002 %
- Less than 15,000 blogs have over 100 blogs linking to them = 0.08 %
- Less than 180,000 blogs have over 10 blogs linking to them = 1 %
- Less than 800,000 blogs have at least 1 blog linking to them = 4 %
- Over 18,000,000 blogs have 0 blogs linking to them = 95%
In other words, using link analysis, Technorati can only “rank” among the top 5% of all blogs and — judging from their data — their methodology starts to fall apart pretty quickly after the top 0.1%. This makes sense since the relative value of a link depends on where you are in the curve.
- For the Technorati 10, it takes thousands of links to move one place in rank.
- For the Technorati 100, it take hundreds of links to move one place in rank
- At 50,000, one link is worth over 2,000
- and your first link is worth over 18 million.
Chris adds that he’s not picking on Technorati; it’s as good a tool as there now is for measuring blogs. He directs his wrath more at the “gung-ho blogosphere pundits and conference promoters” — the high priests — who are using data that they know doesn’t tell the whole story.
I’ve been a little fixated on Technorati lately, as this post and this post illustrate. I can’t say I found Sacred Cow Dung’s analysis comforting, but at least I’m not alone in questioning what we really know about the blog universe.
Technorati tags: Technorati, PR, Public Relations, Marketing
Miered in Controversy
Don’t look now, but CNN thinks “miered” may be the new “borked.” (Via Nicole Stockdale.)
Technorati tags: Journalism, Harriet Miers